SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rennes | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Monaco | 6 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Troyes | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Monaco |
30.71% ( 0.01) | 25.24% ( 0.04) | 44.05% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( -0.15) | 48.16% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( -0.14) | 70.32% ( 0.13) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.07) | 29.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( -0.08) | 65.24% ( 0.08) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( -0.09) | 21.85% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( -0.13) | 55.08% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.71% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.05% |
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