Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fenerbahce |
39.4% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() | 34.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.49% (![]() | 49.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.46% (![]() | 71.53% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% (![]() | 24.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% (![]() | 59.28% (![]() |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% (![]() | 27.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% (![]() | 62.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fenerbahce |
1-0 @ 9.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.4% | 1-1 @ 12.24% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.78% |
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