Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 38.69% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.24%) and 3-1 (4.76%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.18%).