SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
68.49% ( 0.46) | 18.61% ( -0.25) | 12.9% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.58% ( 0.61) | 41.41% ( -0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( 0.62) | 63.81% ( -0.62) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( 0.29) | 11.04% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.61% ( 0.64) | 35.38% ( -0.64) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.06) | 43.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.48% ( 0.05) | 79.52% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Moreirense |
| 2-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.93% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.61% | 0-1 @ 4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.9% |
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