Olympiacos enter Thursday's second leg in buoyant mood after making a strong start to the new campaign, and they will be regarded as firm favourites to win this playoff tie on aggregate.
Cukaricki need to make improvements in the final third if they are to have any chance of pulling off a remarkable comeback, but we believe that their Greek counterparts will have too much quality on the night and they should win comfortably in Serbia.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cukaricki win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cukaricki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
