SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
28.94% ( 0.42) | 25.7% ( 0.36) | 45.36% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( -1.28) | 50.97% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( -1.14) | 72.84% ( 1.14) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( -0.35) | 31.97% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.41) | 68.43% ( 0.41) |
| Hamrun Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.89) | 22.43% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.04% ( -1.35) | 55.96% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.36% |
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