SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
43.67% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% ( -0.24) | 52.5% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -0.21) | 74.17% ( 0.21) |
| Hamrun Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( -0.1) | 23.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.9% ( -0.14) | 58.1% ( 0.14) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( -0.17) | 31.9% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.65% ( -0.2) | 68.35% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.12% |
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