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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
B

Lincoln
1 - 3
KF Ballkani

Juanpe (66')
Juanfri (73'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Korenica (48'), Kuc (64'), Zyba (90+8')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Lincoln Red Imps and KF Ballkani.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KF Ballkani would win this match.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawKF Ballkani
34% (1.164 1.16) 26.34% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 39.66% (-1.196 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.8% (0.19 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.111 0.11)51.88% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.095000000000002 0.1)73.63% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.80500000000001 0.81)28.97% (-0.805 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.987 0.99)64.86% (-0.98599999999999 -0.99)
KF Ballkani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.58200000000001 -0.58)25.67% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.8 -0.8)60.58% (0.801 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 34%
    KF Ballkani 39.65%
    Draw 26.33%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawKF Ballkani
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.144 0.14)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.143 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Qarabag 4-0 Lincoln
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 11 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Tobol
Tuesday, July 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, July 21 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Shkupi
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larne 1-4 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 3-0 Larne
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 KF Ballkani
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Ludogorets
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: CFR Cluj 1-0 KF Ballkani
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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