SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 51.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Lazio |
51.53% ( 0.14) | 24.36% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( -0.03) | 48.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( -0.02) | 70.95% ( 0.02) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( 0.05) | 18.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( 0.08) | 50.46% ( -0.08) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.13) | 34.74% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% ( -0.13) | 71.47% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.1% |
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