SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
62.32% ( 0.44) | 22.18% ( -0.18) | 15.5% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0.25) | 51.21% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( 0.22) | 73.05% ( -0.23) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( 0.23) | 15.91% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.84% ( 0.43) | 45.16% ( -0.44) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.21) | 45.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.65% ( -0.16) | 81.34% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.17% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.5% |
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