SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 83.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 4-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | NAC Breda |
83.79% ( -0.41) | 10.73% ( 0.26) | 5.47% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.77) | 27.7% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.96) | 48.37% ( 0.96) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.28% ( -0.2) | 4.72% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.87% ( -0.62) | 19.13% ( 0.62) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.16) | 49.83% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.45% ( -0.11) | 84.54% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.12% Total : 83.79% | 1-1 @ 5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.72% Total : 10.73% | 1-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.47% |
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