SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 26 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 27 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Ferencvaros |
35.18% ( -0.23) | 23.1% ( 0.02) | 41.72% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.6% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.33% ( -0.14) | 36.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.17% ( -0.16) | 58.83% ( 0.16) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.18) | 21.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( -0.29) | 53.97% ( 0.29) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 0.03) | 18.1% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( 0.06) | 49.04% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 41.72% |
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