SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 26 | 20 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 25 | 18 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 3-1 (5.84%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
47.65% ( 0.03) | 21.78% ( 0) | 30.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 67.63% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.04) | 31.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.53% ( -0.04) | 53.47% ( 0.04) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.98% ( -0) | 14.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.43% ( -0.01) | 41.57% ( 0) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.04) | 21.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.06) | 54.3% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 47.65% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 30.56% |
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