SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Honka | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| 4 | Haka | 18 | -2 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nordsjaelland | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Silkeborg | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Aarhus | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Silkeborg |
41.07% ( 0.21) | 24.24% ( 0.07) | 34.69% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( -0.37) | 42.37% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% ( -0.37) | 64.78% ( 0.37) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.06) | 20.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( -0.09) | 53.42% ( 0.09) |
| Silkeborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.33) | 24.02% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.72% ( -0.47) | 58.28% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Silkeborg |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.69% |
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