As well as flying high domestically, Lazio are generally a formidable force at home in the Europa League - though four of their last six continental clashes in Rome have finished level. Due to Sarri's squad rotation, it may be a close-run contest to begin with, but the Aquile should ultimately soar past the Wolves.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 24.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.21%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
0.19) 
-0.04) 
