SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
47.7% ( 0.66) | 25.16% ( -0.19) | 27.13% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.19% ( 0.52) | 49.81% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.19% ( 0.46) | 71.81% ( -0.46) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.5) | 20.9% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.38% ( 0.77) | 53.62% ( -0.77) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( -0.09) | 32.74% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( -0.1) | 69.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.13% |
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