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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
BL

Napoli
3 - 0
Bologna

Fabian (18'), Insigne (41' pen., 62' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Medel (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 11.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBologna
70.78%17.24%11.98%
Both teams to score 52.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.69%37.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.48%59.52%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.63%9.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.44%31.56%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92%42.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5%78.5%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 70.78%
    Bologna 11.98%
    Draw 17.24%
NapoliDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 9.34%
3-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 7.55%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 3.27%
5-0 @ 2.45%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.94%
6-0 @ 0.97%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 70.78%
1-1 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 4.14%
0-0 @ 3.94%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.24%
1-2 @ 3.5%
0-1 @ 3.41%
0-2 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.98%

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