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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
NL

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Napoli

Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
18.88%21.51%59.61%
Both teams to score 54.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.14%42.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.74%65.27%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57%36.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79%73.21%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86%14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47%41.53%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 18.88%
    Napoli 59.6%
    Draw 21.51%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 5.15%
2-1 @ 5.11%
2-0 @ 2.6%
3-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.88%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.1%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.51%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-2 @ 9.86%
1-3 @ 6.52%
0-3 @ 6.46%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 3.21%
0-4 @ 3.18%
2-4 @ 1.62%
1-5 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.6%

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