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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
FL

Olympiacos
2 - 3
Freiburg

El Kaabi (40', 74')
Martinez (0'), El Kaabi (35'), Podence (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sallai (9'), Grifo (45+7' pen.), Philipp (86')
Holer (25'), Schmidt (52'), Sallai (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Olympiacos 1-1 Freiburg

Although Freiburg may be the marginal favourites on paper, there is little doubting that they would accept a share of the spoils from this contest. We expect Olympiacos to make most of the running, but the visitors may have enough quality at both ends to claim a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
OlympiacosDrawFreiburg
57.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 21.85% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.53% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)41.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.13% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)63.87% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)14.28% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)42.08% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.45% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)33.55% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (-0.096 -0.1)70.19% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 57.23%
    Freiburg 20.92%
    Draw 21.85%
OlympiacosDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.07% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 57.23%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.85%
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Olympiacos
Sunday, September 17 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 Lamia
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Cukaricki 0-3 Olympiacos
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 Atromitos
Sunday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Olympiacos 3-1 Cukaricki
Thursday, August 24 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Panserraikos
Sunday, August 20 at 8pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Freiburg 2-4 Dortmund
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Oberachern 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, August 13 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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