Freiburg will have been hugely boosted by getting their season off to a winning start, with Streich likely to have been fearful of his players being in a mini-slump after narrowly missing out on qualifying for the Champions League last season.
Werder Bremen should not be judged too harshly on their heavy defeat to Bayern, who can thrash any team on their day, but their long-term form is more alarming and they could be involved in a relegation battle this season. We expect the hosts to record a comfortable victory, with goals likely to be on the agenda.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
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