Hoffenheim have recruited smartly during the transfer window and they should head into this campaign with real momentum after escaping relegation with some excellent form under Matarazzo's guidance.
Freiburg have had a quieter summer, but they may find Flekken's gloves in goal difficult to fill. Having punched above their weight for two seasons running yet ultimately fallen short of their Champions League dream, we would not be surprised to see them start the season a little slowly here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 37.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
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