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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Old Trafford
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Man Utd
3 - 1
Arsenal

Antony (35'), Rashford (66', 75')
McTominay (71'), Maguire (81'), Eriksen (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saka (60')
Saliba (24'), Jesus (77'), Saka (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Manchester United 1-1 Arsenal

Even if Arsenal have made a phenomenal start to the new season, injuries to key players could spell the end of their golden streak at a ground where the formula for success is simply not there. Man United appear to be finding their feet under Ten Hag, but a continued lack of ruthlessness will restrict their ability to keep their own victorious run going, and the two giants of the game should play out a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawArsenal
31.87% (-1.387 -1.39) 25.43% (-0.173 -0.17) 42.7% (1.566 1.57)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.344 0.34)48.55% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.314 0.31)70.68% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.72 -0.72)28.7% (0.725 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47% (-0.911 -0.91)64.53% (0.91700000000001 0.92)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.917 0.92)22.65% (-0.913 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71% (1.341 1.34)56.29% (-1.337 -1.34)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 31.87%
    Arsenal 42.7%
    Draw 25.43%
Manchester UnitedDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.07% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.87%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.175 0.17)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.281 0.28)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.202 0.2)
0-3 @ 3.55% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.117 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.118 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Man Utd
Thursday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Liverpool
Monday, August 22 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-0 Man Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Arsenal
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Sevilla
Saturday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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