Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Brentford | 6 | 6 | 9 |
8 | Manchester United | 5 | -2 | 9 |
9 | Leeds United | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 5 | 9 | 15 |
2 | Manchester City | 6 | 14 | 14 |
3 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
31.87% ( -1.39) | 25.43% ( -0.17) | 42.7% ( 1.57) |
Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% ( 0.34) | 48.55% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% ( 0.31) | 70.68% ( -0.31) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( -0.72) | 28.7% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( -0.91) | 64.53% ( 0.92) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0.92) | 22.65% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% ( 1.34) | 56.29% ( -1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.87% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.7% |
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