Facing a side as unyielding as Sheriff Tiraspol on the defensive front is not a recipe for a goal-laden performance from Man United, but Ten Hag can be expected to recall his big-hitters amid a lack of domestic action.
Tomas's side are not to be underestimated in continental competition by any stretch, but a first-choice United backline can expect to quell the hosts' attack, and the Red Devils should nick the odd goal to enter the international break on a high.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
