Facing a side as unyielding as Sheriff Tiraspol on the defensive front is not a recipe for a goal-laden performance from Man United, but Ten Hag can be expected to recall his big-hitters amid a lack of domestic action. Tomas's side are not to be underestimated in continental competition by any stretch, but a first-choice United backline can expect to quell the hosts' attack, and the Red Devils should nick the odd goal to enter the international break on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Manchester United
15.56% ( 0.02)	22.66% ( -0.01)	61.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.58% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

0.06)

52.95% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

0.05)

74.55% (

-0.05)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.51% (

0.06)

46.49% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.9% (

0.05)

82.1% (

-0.04)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

0.02)

16.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

0.03)

46.58% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 15.56%

Manchester United 61.78%

Draw 22.66%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Manchester United
1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.56%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.66%	0-1 @ 13.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 61.78%