SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | -1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Manchester United |
15.56% ( 0.02) | 22.66% ( -0.01) | 61.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.58% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( 0.06) | 52.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( 0.05) | 74.55% ( -0.05) |
| Sheriff Tiraspol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.51% ( 0.06) | 46.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.9% ( 0.05) | 82.1% ( -0.04) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( 0.02) | 16.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.42% ( 0.03) | 46.58% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheriff Tiraspol | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 15.56% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 13.89% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.43% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 61.78% |
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