SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Leicester City | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Newcastle United | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Manchester United |
43% ( 2.27) | 25.78% ( 0.09) | 31.22% ( -2.36) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% ( -1.1) | 50.27% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% ( -0.98) | 72.22% ( 0.98) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.64) | 23.25% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0.93) | 57.17% ( -0.93) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -2.08) | 29.99% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -2.58) | 66.11% ( 2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.24% Total : 31.22% |
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