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Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
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Leicester
0 - 1
Man Utd


Vardy (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sancho (23')
Dalot (28'), Malacia (43'), Martinez (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
43% (2.267 2.27) 25.78% (0.093 0.09) 31.22% (-2.36 -2.36)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-1.136 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72% (-1.099 -1.1)50.27% (1.099 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77% (-0.983 -0.98)72.22% (0.982 0.98)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (0.643 0.64)23.25% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (0.928 0.93)57.17% (-0.928 -0.93)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70% (-2.083 -2.08)29.99% (2.083 2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-2.58 -2.58)66.11% (2.582 2.58)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 42.99%
    Manchester United 31.22%
    Draw 25.78%
Leicester CityDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 10.17% (0.623 0.62)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.215 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.587 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.184 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.348 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.149 0.15)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.99%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.398 -0.4)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.374 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.281 -0.28)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 31.22%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Leicester (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brentford
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Man Utd
Saturday, August 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Liverpool
Monday, August 22 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-0 Man Utd
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, July 30 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1


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