SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Nottingham Forest | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Southampton | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 3 | -5 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Manchester United |
26.18% ( -0.04) | 24.3% ( 0) | 49.52% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.03) | 46.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.03) | 69.09% ( 0.03) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.08% ( -0.05) | 31.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.63% ( -0.06) | 68.37% ( 0.06) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0) | 18.96% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( 0.01) | 50.49% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 26.18% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.52% |
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