SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
63.35% ( 0.14) | 19.2% ( 0.04) | 17.46% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.55) | 34.36% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.72% ( -0.62) | 56.28% ( 0.62) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( -0.12) | 10.36% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.15% ( -0.28) | 33.85% ( 0.28) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.53) | 32.87% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -0.6) | 69.44% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.18% Total : 63.35% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.2% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 17.46% |
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