SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Hoffenheim |
71.04% ( -0.66) | 15.97% ( 0.14) | 13% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.74) | 27.95% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.32% ( 0.92) | 48.68% ( -0.92) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93% ( 0.05) | 7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.39% ( 0.13) | 25.61% ( -0.14) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 1.28) | 34.1% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 1.35) | 70.79% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.27)1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.04% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 13% |
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