SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 13.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.11%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
13.55% ( -1.48) | 21.35% ( -0.55) | 65.09% ( 2.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( -0.64) | 51.6% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( -0.56) | 73.39% ( 0.56) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.39% ( -2.59) | 48.61% ( 2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.33% ( -1.94) | 83.67% ( 1.94) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( 0.45) | 15.13% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.28% ( 0.83) | 43.71% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.72% Total : 13.55% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 13.89% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 13.11% ( 0.72)1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 8.25% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.9% ( 0.33)1-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.17)0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.14)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.02% Total : 65.09% |
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