SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Porto |
35.95% ( 0.01) | 26.3% ( 0) | 37.74% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -0.02) | 51.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.01) | 73.29% ( 0.01) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0) | 27.58% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0) | 63.11% ( -0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( -0.02) | 26.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.24% ( -0.02) | 61.75% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.74% |
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