Hertha Berlin
1 - 6
RB Leipzig

Jovetic (48')
Richter (25'), Ascacibar (84')
Kempf (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Henrichs (20'), Nkunku (64' pen., 67'), Olmo (74'), Haidara (81'), Poulsen (88')
Gvardiol (34'), Tedesco (45'), Nkunku (64'), Haidara (84')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig

Despite Leipzig's struggles on the road this season, they should possess enough quality to see off a struggling Hertha side in the capital on Sunday. Fitness could well be an issue following their European exploits on Thursday evening though, particularly with Tedesco naming a full-strength 11, but we are predicting a narrow victory for the visitors anyway. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.35%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 20.2% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (5.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
20.2%	19.45%	60.35%

Both teams to score 64.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.07%

30.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.69%

52.31%

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.9%

10.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.75%

33.24%

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 20.2%

RB Leipzig 60.35%

Draw 19.45%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.24% 1-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.55% 2-0 @ 2.29% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.34% Total : 20.2%	1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.45%	1-2 @ 9.47% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.5% 0-3 @ 5.7% 2-3 @ 4.6% 1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.64% 1-5 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.5% 2-5 @ 1.21% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.35%