SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Manchester United |
35.55% ( 0.26) | 24.22% ( 0.08) | 40.23% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.9% ( -0.32) | 42.09% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.32) | 64.5% ( 0.33) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( -0.01) | 23.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( -0.01) | 57.41% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( -0.3) | 21.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( -0.47) | 53.85% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.23% |
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