Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
