SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Romania | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Israel | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Belarus | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 6 | Andorra | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Belarus |
17.72% ( 0.08) | 24.98% ( -0.02) | 57.3% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.17) | 58.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.2% ( 0.13) | 78.8% ( -0.13) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.24% ( 0.19) | 46.76% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.7% ( 0.15) | 82.3% ( -0.14) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( 0.05) | 20.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( 0.07) | 52.65% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.72% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 15.13% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 57.29% |
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