SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Andorra |
43.82% ( -0.03) | 23.26% ( 0) | 32.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( -0) | 38.14% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( -0) | 60.41% ( 0) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.01) | 17.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.42% ( -0.02) | 48.58% ( 0.02) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.01) | 23.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.16% ( 0.02) | 56.83% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Andorra |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.92% |
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