SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Lithuania |
57.74% ( 0.01) | 23.64% ( 0.01) | 18.62% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( -0.09) | 52.14% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% ( -0.08) | 73.86% ( 0.07) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.16% ( -0.03) | 17.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.41% ( -0.05) | 48.58% ( 0.04) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.08) | 42.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.44% ( -0.07) | 78.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Lithuania |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.73% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.62% |
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