With both sides looking to put on a positive display before Euro 2024 qualifying commences, we expect an entertaining encounter with plenty of chances at both ends of the pitch.
Nevertheless, Turkey and Scotland will cancel each other out and will not be separated on the day, which will result in a draw at the Diyarbakir Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-0 (12.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.03) 
