SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.87%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Turkey in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Turkey.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Turkey |
24.26% ( -0.05) | 22.87% ( -0.02) | 52.87% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( 0.05) | 42.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.41% ( 0.05) | 64.59% ( -0.05) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.02) | 30.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.02) | 67.29% ( 0.02) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0.04) | 15.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( 0.08) | 45.28% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.26% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.87% |
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