SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for Luxembourg had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Luxembourg win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Luxembourg |
45.07% ( 0.18) | 23.34% ( -0.05) | 31.58% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( 0.19) | 39.1% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( 0.2) | 61.43% ( -0.2) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.14) | 17.71% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.63% ( 0.25) | 48.37% ( -0.25) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.02) | 24.26% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.03) | 58.62% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Luxembourg |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.89% Total : 45.07% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.58% |
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