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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
SN

Austria
2 - 0
Sweden

Baumgartner (81', 89')
Posch (12')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies

We said: Austria 2-2 Sweden

Both of these teams have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals lately, so we can envisage an entertaining encounter in Vienna. Sweden will know that a defeat could potentially be fatal in terms of their hopes of qualifying for next summer's European Championship, but we believe they have enough about them to avoid defeat, with a share of the spoils potentially suiting both managers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawSweden
55.19% (11.261 11.26) 23.42% (1.713 1.71) 21.39% (-12.973 -12.97)
Both teams to score 52.47% (-17.31 -17.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24% (-17.921 -17.92)47.76% (17.924 17.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05% (-18.954 -18.95)69.95% (18.957 18.96)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-2.662 -2.66)17.16% (2.666 2.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (-4.911 -4.91)47.41% (4.915 4.92)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34% (-18.27 -18.27)36.65% (18.272 18.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-23.925 -23.93)73.44% (23.928 23.93)
Score Analysis
    Austria 55.18%
    Sweden 21.39%
    Draw 23.41%
AustriaDrawSweden
1-0 @ 11.08% (5.934 5.93)
2-1 @ 9.81% (1.389 1.39)
2-0 @ 9.77% (4.801 4.8)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.343 0.34)
3-0 @ 5.74% (2.541 2.54)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-1.698 -1.7)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.985 0.99)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.942 -0.94)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 11.12% (2.403 2.4)
0-0 @ 6.29% (3.626 3.63)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-2.208 -2.21)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-1.624 -1.62)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.31% (1.801 1.8)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-1.799 -1.8)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.655 -0.66)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-2.3 -2.3)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-2.379 -2.38)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-1.098 -1.1)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Austria
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Estonia
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 4-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Italy
Sunday, November 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Austria
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 1-3 Croatia
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 4-1 New Zealand
Friday, June 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 5-0 Azerbaijan
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 0-3 Belgium
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Finland
Monday, January 9 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Algeria
Saturday, November 19 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies


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