SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Norway | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Iceland |
55.48% ( 1.33) | 26.14% ( -0.29) | 18.37% ( -1.05) |
| Both teams to score 40.62% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0.17) | 61.15% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% ( -0.13) | 81.1% ( 0.13) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.49) | 22.25% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% ( 0.74) | 55.69% ( -0.74) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.25% ( -1.34) | 47.74% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.95% ( -1.01) | 83.04% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Iceland |
| 1-0 @ 15.96% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.47% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.37% |
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