After such a disappointing result earlier this week, you have to expect a response from Bulgaria. However, that is not to say that it will be enough, and our full backing goes to Georgia who are starting to look like they could be a force when it comes to qualification for Euro 2024. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Georgia	Draw	Bulgaria
48.87% ( -0.02)	27.77% ( -0.01)	23.35% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 42.61% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.1% (

0.06)

61.89% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.34% (

0.05)

81.66% (

-0.05)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.44% (

0.02)

25.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.58% (

0.02)

60.42% (

-0.03)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.24% (

0.07)

42.75% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91% (

0.06)

79.08% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Georgia 48.86%

Bulgaria 23.35%

Draw 27.76%

Georgia	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 14.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.06% Total : 23.35%