All things considered, goals and points are going to be in short supply for Gibraltar this campaign, and we expect that to continue on Thursday. Bulgaria are hardly in good form themselves, but the former World Cup participants should have enough quality to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gibraltar had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Gibraltar win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Bulgaria
33% ( 0)	27.44% ( 0)	39.56% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.14% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59% (

-0.01)

56.41% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

-0.01)

77.42% (

0.01)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

-0)

31.89% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.66% (

-0)

68.34% (

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.01)

27.84% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.56% (

-0.01)

63.44% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 32.99%

Bulgaria 39.56%

Draw 27.43%

Gibraltar	Draw	Bulgaria
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 7.41% 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.99%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 39.56%