SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
37.55% ( 0.33) | 27.67% ( 0.06) | 34.78% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.75% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -0.24) | 57.04% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.19) | 77.92% ( 0.19) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.08) | 29.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( 0.1) | 65.28% ( -0.1) |
| Bulgaria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.36) | 31.03% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( -0.43) | 67.34% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Bulgaria |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.55% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.78% |
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