SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Turkey win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Turkey |
40.57% ( -0.04) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 34.05% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.26% ( 0.04) | 47.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.07% ( 0.03) | 69.93% ( -0.03) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( -0) | 23.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( -0.01) | 57.3% ( 0.01) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.05) | 26.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( 0.06) | 62.26% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Croatia | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.08% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.05% |
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