Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Wales had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Croatia	Draw	Wales
51.52% ( -0.11)	25.45% ( 0)	23.03% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

0.09)

54.14% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

0.07)

75.56% (

-0.07)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-0.01)

21.04% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

-0.01)

53.83% (

0.01)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34% (

0.15)

38.66% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6% (

0.14)

75.4% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Croatia 51.51%

Wales 23.03%

Draw 25.44%

Croatia	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.03%