SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Croatia |
42.35% ( 1.68) | 26.22% ( -0.35) | 31.43% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( 1.05) | 52.01% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( 0.9) | 73.74% ( -0.89) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( 1.34) | 24.33% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( 1.85) | 58.72% ( -1.84) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( -0.36) | 30.72% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( -0.43) | 66.98% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Croatia |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.43% |
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