SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Japan had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Turkey |
| 32.66% | 26.54% ( 0.01) | 40.8% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( -0.04) | 52.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( -0.03) | 74.58% ( 0.03) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.61% ( -0.02) | 30.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.42% ( -0.02) | 66.58% ( 0.02) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.02) | 25.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0.03) | 60.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan | Draw | Turkey |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.79% |
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