SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.62%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cyprus | Draw | Scotland |
15.85% ( -0.13) | 23.53% ( -0.01) | 60.62% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( -0.16) | 55.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.13) | 76.83% ( 0.14) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.27) | 47.73% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.96% ( -0.2) | 83.03% ( 0.21) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( -0.01) | 18.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.98% ( -0.02) | 49.02% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cyprus | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.85% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 23.52% | 0-1 @ 14.76% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 12.62% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.19% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 60.62% |
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