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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
SN

Norway
1 - 2
Scotland

Braut Haaland (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dykes (87'), McLean (89')
McGinn (37'), Hendry (40'), Tierney (53'), Porteous (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland256
2Spain213
3Georgia101
4Norway2-31
5Cyprus1-30
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Spain
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland256
2Spain213
3Georgia101
4Norway2-31
5Cyprus1-30

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Scotland in this match.

Result
NorwayDrawScotland
43.5% (-0.337 -0.34) 26.73% (0.081 0.08) 29.77% (0.255 0.25)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.34% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)54.65% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01% (-0.171 -0.17)75.98% (0.17 0.17)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)24.93% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)59.56% (0.363 0.36)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)33.28% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.11% (0.09 0.09)69.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Norway 43.5%
    Scotland 29.77%
    Draw 26.73%
NorwayDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Norway
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-0 Norway
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Norway 1-1 Finland
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Norway
Thursday, November 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 0-2 Serbia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Norway
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-0 Spain
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Turkey 2-1 Scotland
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ukraine 0-0 Scotland
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Ukraine
Wednesday, September 21 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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