SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Scotland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway | Draw | Scotland |
43.5% ( -0.34) | 26.73% ( 0.08) | 29.77% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.2) | 54.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0.17) | 75.98% ( 0.17) |
| Norway Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( -0.26) | 24.93% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.44% ( -0.36) | 59.56% ( 0.36) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.08) | 33.28% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.09) | 69.89% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway | Draw | Scotland |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.5% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.77% |
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