SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scotland | Draw | Spain |
35.91% ( 0.86) | 27.62% ( 0.35) | 36.47% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.97% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( -1.3) | 56.8% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( -1.06) | 77.74% ( 1.06) |
| Scotland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.1) | 30.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( -0.12) | 66.35% ( 0.12) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -1.36) | 29.85% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( -1.68) | 65.93% ( 1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scotland | Draw | Spain |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.47% |
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